Self-Driving Car — Are We There Yet?

Edgewood Park & Natural Preserve, CA

A new chapter

  1. On Dec. 16, GM announced Dan Ammann, CEO of Cruise, is leaving.
  2. On Dec. 8, Apple loses a few car project engineering leads on top of Doug Field, ex-VP of Apple car project joined Ford in Sep.
  3. In April, John Krafcik ended his 6 years of endeavors as Waymo CEO, and Gerard Dwyer left the role of Waymo CFO in May.
US Light Vehicle Sales by level of automation, 2019

Timing the future

Victoria Transport Policy Institute: Autonomous Vehicle Implementation Predictions, 2021

Two key levers

  1. Subscription & insurance: someone, such as Tesla may offer a “prime self-driving” subscription service. The deal will be sweeter if it comes with insurance coverage. So, the risk can be properly hedged, the damage can be better compensated, and drivers may be really “hands-off”.
  2. Black boxes & open datasets: as black boxes provide feedbacks to improve flight safety, the same concept may guide self-driving toward a safer path. For example, CA DMV received a bunch of collision reports from self-driving test cars. What if these records can be used to validate all self-driving systems will not repeat the incident?
Why do people resist new technologies? History might provide the answer. Image: INKCINCT cartoons

Full Disclosure

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A Taiwanese lives in Silicon Valley since 2014 & has random opinions on some stuff. The opinions shared here are my own, not those of companies I work for.

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Sam Lin

Sam Lin

A Taiwanese lives in Silicon Valley since 2014 & has random opinions on some stuff. The opinions shared here are my own, not those of companies I work for.

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